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Cake day: June 5th, 2023

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  • So? It’s not like pregnant women are planning weeks in advance for an exact date to give birth. An estimated due date is exactly that: an estimate. I don’t have exact statistics on hand but if I remember correctly, your 10% are even a bit high and it’s more like 3% on the exact date. But about 50% are within +/- one week of the original due date and 80% are within +/- two weeks which is pretty good accuracy for a 40 week time span¹. If you adjust based on ultrasound results, you can get even more accurate estimates but the original due date gives you a good timeline when those ultrasounds (and other examinations) should be done.

    ¹ seriously, try estimating any other 40 week project to within a week with 50% accuracy.


  • The latter. This is not about politics but about medicine and it’s nothing new. Calculating weeks of pregnancy from the previous menstruation is generally a lot more reliable in predicting the date of birth than calculating from conception.

    The mother may not remember the exact day she had sex, she may have had sex multiple times and not know which time led to conception and as an additional hurdle, sperm may need multiple days to to reach the egg so even if she had sex only once and remembers the exact date, that doesn’t really help to know when the egg was fertilized.

    On the other hand, there is a relatively narrow window (a few days) during a cycle when fertilization is the most likely, so calculating from a known point of reference relative to her cycle gives good results.











  • Looking back, I find every single aspect of the 2018 design more accessible than the current one. Releases are above the fold, the list of forks is reachable by clicking the number next to the fork button, the explore link is right there in the top navigation. Sure, having three levels of horizontal navigation doesn’t look very clean but there must be a better solution than hiding everything in hamburger menus and sidebars where you can only find them if you already know they exist.


  • If I remember correctly, they used to be in a tab in the top navigation, together with “Code”, “Issues”, “Pull requests”, etc. which was a lot easier to find for people who are not familiar with GitHub’s UI. Edit: it was a separate bar right above the file list, together with the number of commits and branches: https://web.archive.org/web/20180610234228/https://github.com/rails/rails

    Same problem with forks / network. In earlier revisions of GitHub’s UI, they were relatively easy to find. Now you have to know that you can click the “59.7k forks” sidebar text which is in no way styled like a link or button. You can just infer it from the fact that there are also “Readme” and “View license” in the same list.





  • dfyx@lemmy.helios42.detoComic Strips@lemmy.worldxkcd 1043
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    2 months ago

    He was pretty much spot on, they came close once in August and then crossed over in October:

    Interesting that Twitter isn’t on that chart even though it had been a thing for about six years at that point and had already eclipsed everything on Randall’s list in 2010